It's a little more than three weeks before I fly out, but the festival lineups are set, and importantly, Party.San hasn't done out their full running order, so I can indulge this pointless exercise in Paul the Octopus biting.
This is a potential running order for Party.San 2010, based on already-published information; feel free to laugh at it when the real one is published and I get most bands wrong:
THE DEVILS BLOOD
THE DEVILS BLOOD
I got none of these right (well, besides Watain, but that doesn't count). I didn't anticipate The Devil's Blood playing so late or Devourment switching in, albeit to about where I'd've had them.
MILKING THE GOATMACHINE
MILKING THE GOATMACHINE
I got Milking The Goatmachine right, and the Origin-Ofermod-D-band-that-switched-days sequence in the right order, but Sarke going so late fucked things up again. I should have learned from Eluveitie last year.
UNDER THAT SPELL
UNDER THAT SPELL
I got Desaster right, and correctly called Suffocation playing after Napalm Death. Additionally, I had Under That Spell and Tribulation, as a pairing, in the right two slots on the bill, but the wrong slots individually; same goes for Aura Noir and Necrophagist. The wrench in these works was Manegarm playing so early after when Moonsorrow went on last year, and Lock Up somehow going on after Napalm Death. All in all, about 8 of 27 correct (under a charitable interpretation). Picking at random would probably get about one band right per day (equal chance of any band for any slot, add up the percentages and hey ho, (1/n)*n = 1), so I did better, but not actually well.
The headliners (last in the list for each day) are announced, and all bands are assigned to the days noted above; it's only the exact order that's not yet determined. If I get more than 50% bands correctly slotted, I get to be unnecessarily annoying and self-congratulatory about it in a later post.
Meanwhile, the running order for Wacken is now out in full, and due to a lack of especially interesting bands, there are very few conflicts. However, they all seem to be really, really, stupid ones:
Grave Digger against Equilibrium on Friday
Slayer against 1349, also Friday
Atrocity against Cantus Buranus (Corvus Corax) on Friday -- even though I don't give a shit and will be seeing Raven in that slot, this is egregiously stupid
Immortal against Rotting Christ on Saturday
As a result, my schedule is going to look something like this:
Wikinger-stage (medieval markt?)
18:00 - 19:00 LORD OF THE LOST
20:00 - 21:00 FIDDLERS GREEN
22:30 - 00:00 MOVIENIGHT "UNTIL THE LIGHT TAKES US"
16:00 - 16:45 BLACK SKYLINE (+ SPECIAL GUESTs DORO, U.D.O. and more)
17:30 - 19:00 TRUE ALICE COOPER
20:00 - 21:15 BLACK MÖTLEY CRÜE
21:30 - 23:30 TRUE IRON MAIDEN
(if shit is ridiculous)
17:00 - 18:00 SVARTSOT
19:00 - 20:00 TORFROCK
21:00 - 22:00 HANGGAI
23:00 - 23:45 GOJIRA
11:00 - 11:40 BLACK DEW-SCENTED
11:45 - 12:45 TRUE AMORPHIS
13:00 - 14:00 BLACK ORPHANED LAND
14:15 - 15:15 TRUE ILL NINO (???)
15:30 - 16:30 PARTY VOIVOD
16:45 - 17:45 TRUE THE BOSS HOSS (???)
18:00 - 19:00 WIKING SCHELMISH
19:15 - 20:15 TRUE KAMELOT (???)
20:00 - 21:00 WIKING LETZTE INSTANZ (???)
20:30 - 21:30 BLACK ARCH ENEMY (???)
22:00 - 23:00 WIKING EQUILIBRIUM
23:15 - 00:30 BLACK SLAYER
00:45 - 01:45 TRUE ANVIL
02:10 - 02:55 TENT RAVEN
12:00 - 12:30 TENT NIGHTMARE
12:55 - 13:25 TENT THE NEW BLACK (???)
13:50 - 14:20 TENT DEGRADEAD (???)
14:30 - 15:30 BLACK UNLEASHED
14:30 - 15:30 PARTY KAMPFAR
15:45 - 16:45 TRUE OVERKILL
17:00 - 18:00 BLACK LOCK UP
18:15 - 19:15 TRUE W.A.S.P.
19:30 - 20:30 BLACK CANNIBAL CORPSE
20:45 - 21:45 TRUE EDGUY
22:00 - 23:00 BLACK IMMORTAL
22:45 - 23:15 TENT ROTTING CHRIST
BREAK (no Soulfly, no Despised Icon)
00:30 - 01:30 PARTY TIAMAT
00:45 - 01:30 TENT KILLING MACHINE
01:35 - 02:50 TRUE U.D.O.
02:54 - 03:00 TRUE SUBWAY TO SALLY COVER "IT'S AFTER DARK" (DAD)
Despite the downtime built in avoiding Caliban and the 23:15 - 00:15 Saturday slot, and the real sag in quality early Friday evening, there are still a lot of decent bands on that schedule. It's just that there are also a lot of bands on that schedule that I don't have an especially strong interest in, many more, proportionally as well as absolutely, than at Party.San, and it's not like every single slot where I do have must-see bands has another must-see band booked onto a different stage behind it. The orgas may say "the festival is the headliner", but in reality there are a lot of other options for people who mainly want to live in a tent by their car, drinking beer and blasting metal for a weekend. Without good bands, no festival will hold up, and the thing about a 50,000+-class festival is that virtually no one who is going to be attending is going to be able to draw up a schedule much different than the one above, full of downtime and bands they don't care about. The trick is, obviously, to cover all the bases in getting enough bands that every segment of the audience has someone they have to go see, but managing that without getting repetitive is the tough part. Apo have played a minimum of three times in the last five years ('06, '07, and '10), and I really need to go back and check to make sure, as I thought they were in last year as well. Mambo Kurt and the Firefighters back every year is festival culture; main-stage stalwarts back every year is ossification. We'll see how things are for real this time next month.
godfuckingdamnit, no sooner do I go and post this up than the organizers swap Devourment to Thursday and move Demonical to Friday. The complete list of slots I got wrong will be unveiled as soon as the real running order goes up on the 26th.